Wednesday, December 27, 2023

US Options Limited Against Houthis in Red Sea: Analysis | TOME

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The US-led maritime force is a half measure that Houthis will test. But it can’t do more without escalating tensions.

In an effort to counter the growing threat posed by Houthi rebels in the Red Sea, the United States has announced the formation of a new maritime force. This force, which will be led by the US Navy, aims to ensure the freedom of navigation and protect commercial shipping in the region. While this move is certainly a step in the right direction, it is unlikely to have a significant impact on the situation without further escalation.

The Houthi rebels, who are backed by Iran, have been increasingly aggressive in their attacks on commercial shipping in the Red Sea. They have targeted vessels from multiple countries, including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, both of which are key US allies in the region. These attacks pose a significant threat to global trade and have raised concerns about the stability of the region.

The US-led maritime force, which will include ships from several other countries, is intended to deter further attacks and ensure the safety of shipping lanes. However, it is important to recognize that this force is a half measure. While it may provide some level of protection, it is unlikely to be enough to fully address the threat posed by the Houthi rebels.

The Houthi rebels have proven themselves to be resourceful and determined fighters. They have successfully used asymmetric tactics, such as drone and missile attacks, to target commercial shipping and infrastructure. These tactics allow them to inflict significant damage while minimizing their own risk. It is likely that they will continue to test the capabilities of the US-led maritime force and find ways to exploit its limitations.

Furthermore, any attempt to escalate the situation by increasing the size or scope of the maritime force could have unintended consequences. Iran, which has been providing support to the Houthi rebels, has already warned against any escalation in the region. Any further military action could lead to a wider conflict and potentially draw in other regional powers, such as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.

Instead of relying solely on military force, it is important for the international community to address the root causes of the conflict. The ongoing civil war in Yemen, which has allowed the Houthi rebels to gain power, must be resolved through diplomatic means. This will require a coordinated effort from all parties involved, including Iran and Saudi Arabia.

Additionally, efforts should be made to address the humanitarian crisis in Yemen. The conflict has resulted in widespread suffering, with millions of people in need of assistance. Providing humanitarian aid and working towards a political solution are crucial steps towards achieving long-term stability in the region.

In conclusion, while the US-led maritime force is a step in the right direction, it is unlikely to have a significant impact on the threat posed by the Houthi rebels without further escalation. The rebels have proven themselves to be resourceful and determined fighters, and any attempt to escalate the situation could have unintended consequences. Instead, efforts should be focused on addressing the root causes of the conflict and providing humanitarian aid to those affected. Only through a coordinated and diplomatic approach can long-term stability be achieved in the region.

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