Iraq Plans for US-led Coalition Troop Withdrawal by 2025
Iraq is making plans for the withdrawal of troops from the US-led military coalition, with a target date set for September 2025. This decision comes after discussions between Iraqi officials and US representatives at a security summit in Washington this week. While there is no formal agreement in place yet, both sides are working towards transitioning the coalition’s mission based on the current threat posed by Daesh.
The history of US involvement in Iraq dates back to 2003 when US-led forces invaded the country, toppled Saddam Hussein, and later withdrew in 2011. However, they returned in 2014 to combat Daesh as part of the coalition. Currently, there are around 2,500 US troops stationed in Iraq across three main bases.
The specifics of the troop withdrawal plan are still being negotiated, with Iraqi sources anticipating most troops to eventually depart. However, US officials suggest that some forces may remain in an advisory capacity under a newly negotiated mission. The presence of US troops in Iraq is seen as crucial for supporting operations in neighboring Syria, where around 900 US troops are stationed.
The decision to withdraw troops is a sensitive issue, given the political dynamics in the region. Iraqi factions aligned with Iran are eager to demonstrate their ability to push out US forces once again, while US officials are cautious about giving Iran and its allies a strategic advantage. Additionally, there are concerns about the resurgence of Daesh, despite the group being declared territorially defeated in Iraq in 2017 and in Syria in 2019.
Daesh continues to pose a threat through sporadic attacks in both Iraq and Syria, with the group expanding its reach to other countries as well. Recent attacks in Iran, Russia, and Oman highlight the persistent threat posed by the jihadist group. The coalition’s mission extends beyond combating Daesh, as it also serves as a deterrent against Iranian influence in the region.
Negotiations between Washington and Baghdad regarding the future of the coalition began earlier this year, following escalating tensions between Iran-backed Shiite armed groups and US forces. Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani is under pressure from various factions to push out US troops while maintaining a delicate balance between Iraq’s alliances with both Washington and Tehran.
As discussions continue, the timeline for troop withdrawal remains a key point of contention. The Iraqi government aims to see the coalition’s work formally end by September 2025, signaling a significant shift in the country’s security landscape. The outcome of these negotiations will not only impact Iraq’s relationship with the US but also have broader implications for regional stability and security.
In conclusion, Iraq’s plans for a US-led coalition troop withdrawal by 2025 reflect a strategic shift in the country’s security posture. As negotiations progress, both Iraqi and US officials will need to navigate complex political dynamics to ensure a smooth transition while addressing ongoing security challenges in the region.