Pakistan and Qatar carried messages between washington and Tehran this week in separate rounds of indirect diplomacy aimed at ending the conflict and restoring shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, mediators and officials said. Both sides remain far apart on key demands, and Iranian officials expressed scepticism about achieving a comprehensive deal before the U.S. midterm elections.
- Pakistan and Qatar are mediating separate indirect talks between the US and Iran aimed at ending hostilities and reopening the Strait of Hormuz.
- The US seeks firm commitments on reopening Hormuz and nuclear concessions; Iran conditions reopening on sanctions relief and lifting of a naval blockade.
- Iranian officials are reported to be pessimistic about reaching a deal before the US midterm elections, complicating prospects for a quick settlement.
What happened: parallel mediated contacts
Sources briefed by media outlets and regional reporting described two strands of engagement over the past several days. Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, stayed in New York after the UN General Assembly and continued discussions via mediators, according to reporting that cited Iranian and U.S. interlocutors. Pakistan and Qatar have been prominent conduits for those exchanges.
Mediators relayed Tehran’s latest proposals for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and for ending wider hostilities. At the same time, washington has held separate mediated contact with the Houthis in Yemen, according to reporting that summarised U.S. outreach to Iran-aligned actors as part of a broader effort to reduce regional threats.
Positions and sticking points
Multiple reports indicate the two sides have different priorities. U.S. officials told mediators they want Iran to make firm commitments on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and to address nuclear-related concerns as part of any durable settlement. Iran’s negotiators, by contrast, have made reopening the strait contingent on sanctions relief and the lifting of a naval blockade, and have offered proposals that would postpone more contentious nuclear talks to a later stage.
Iranian officials have privately expressed doubt about reaching a deal before the November U.S. midterm elections, saying they do not trust the U.S. administration to stick to terms, according to reporting based on people familiar with Iranian views. U.S. officials have voiced reciprocal scepticism about Tehran’s intentions.
Official statements and tone
President Donald Trump told media he expected talks to resume despite rejecting a specific truce proposal brought by Tehran to the UN. Iranian state media quoted senior Iranian officials saying Tehran would not “back down” from its conditions and that it remained open to diplomacy.
Pakistani and Qatari mediators have publicly framed their roles as facilitating communication rather than negotiating on behalf of either side. Pakistan’s foreign ministry has previously said it was committed to mediation; regional outlets reported that Araghchi travelled from Pakistan to Moscow after delivering Iran’s conditions to Pakistani mediators.
Regional and economic context
The dispute centres in large part on the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for oil and gas shipments. Months of intermittent fighting and a maritime blockade have pushed tanker traffic and oil prices well above pre-conflict levels, compounding regional economic strain. Reporting cited market reaction: expectations of a deal faded as negotiators made little progress, and Brent crude rose in that context.
The conflict has also driven diplomatic realignments and heightened security concerns across the Gulf. Separate outreach to Yemen’s Houthi movement — an Iran-aligned actor that has attacked shipping and regional targets — is part of U.S. efforts to address multiple sources of threat while searching for a broader cessation of hostilities.
Timeline of recent steps
- Mid-June: A memorandum of understanding briefly produced a ceasefire and increased maritime traffic before collapsing.
- Late September: Iran brought a plan to the UN proposing a seven-day truce followed by reopening of the strait; U.S. leaders rejected that specific package, while saying talks could continue.
- Late September: Abbas Araghchi remained in the U.S. after the UN General Assembly to continue mediated contacts; he then travelled to Pakistan and later Moscow to consult allies and deliver Iran’s positions to mediators.
- Ongoing: Pakistan and Qatar continue to shuttle proposals between Tehran and Washington; the U.S. has also held separate mediated contacts with Houthi representatives.
Why progress is uncertain
Reports underline several obstacles. Each side’s core demands are politically sensitive domestically: U.S. leaders emphasise nuclear guarantees and reopening Hormuz, while Iranian leaders insist any reopening be linked to relief from sanctions and an end to perceived naval pressure. Both capitals also face electoral and credibility constraints that reduce flexibility—Tehran because of internal political dynamics and Washington because of the upcoming midterm vote.
Analysts cited in regional reporting warned that failure to bridge these gaps could raise oil prices further and increase the risk of renewed military escalation. Conversely, a narrow deal focused on maritime security might be achievable more quickly than a comprehensive settlement addressing nuclear and broader regional issues, the coverage suggested.
Unresolved questions
- Whether mediators can translate shuttled proposals into binding commitments acceptable to both capitals.
- How far the U.S. is willing to delay or compartmentalise nuclear-related demands in order to secure an immediate reopening of Hormuz.
- The timeline for any implementation measures and verification mechanisms if a partial or full agreement is reached.
- How domestic political pressures in Tehran and Washington—particularly the U.S. midterms—will affect negotiators’ room to compromise.
Implications for the UAE and the Gulf
For economies across the Gulf, including the UAE, continued disruption in Hormuz raises direct costs: higher energy prices, trade delays and increased insurance and shipping expenses. Restoring reliable maritime transit would ease supply-chain pressures and stabilise oil markets, while a breakdown in talks risks further volatility and security tensions in Gulf waters.
What to watch next
Expect mediators to continue shuttle diplomacy in the coming days, with attention on statements from Pakistan and Qatar about whether fresh compromises emerge. Market indicators—shipping transits through Hormuz and crude price movements—will be immediate barometers of progress, while any announced verification steps on nuclear or maritime commitments would signal deeper movement toward a lasting deal.
“Iranian officials have privately expressed pessimism about reaching a deal to end hostilities…before the November midterm elections,” reporting based on people familiar with the matter said.