Turkey’s presidential elections have seen a third nationalist candidate and his alliance emerge as a potential determining force in the run-off vote on Sunday. Incumbent President Recep Tayyip Erdogan scored 49.5% of the ballots, while the candidate of the main opposition alliance, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, acquired 44.8%. The third candidate, Sinan Ogan, took 5.2% in the election with the backing of the newly established ultranationalist ATA Alliance led by the Victory Party of Umit Ozdag, a seasoned far-right politician. With such an outcome, the nationalist nominee and the alliance emerged as possible kingmakers in the aftermath of the first round – until their recent fallout.